Money/Exchange Rate

ClubHombre.com: South America: Brazil: Advice/Questions/Commentary: Money/Exchange Rate
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Archive 0150  2005/07/13, 10:54 pm

By Dongringo on Wednesday, July 13, 2005 - 08:32 pm:  Edit

Morgan Stanley is actively recommending investors buy the Real and Brazilian equities at this time, stating that "Brazil currently trades at a large 44% discount to developed markets... and the Brazilian market looks very attractive"

They go on to predict that short-term interest rates paid in Brazil will fall from the current 18.76% to 14% by 12/06, as the value of the Real continues to rise.

They conclude their forecasts with a warning that any China slowdown would negatively impact Brazilian equities.

I thought I would share this for two reasons:

First, to assist any expats in forecasting what the Real will do over the next 18 months, and...

Second, to explain how the Chinese are fucking up our game in Brazil.

DGWhothinksitisbesttolearnChineseNOW

By Don Marco on Wednesday, July 13, 2005 - 08:50 pm:  Edit

dui! xue xi zhong guo hua hen hao!

DMwhothinkstudyingChinesePussyisbetter!

By Gr8ter on Wednesday, July 13, 2005 - 08:56 pm:  Edit

dongringo, do you have a link to where you pulled the quotes from?

By Dongringo on Thursday, July 14, 2005 - 09:39 am:  Edit

Gr8ter I do not have a link, but the source is from the Integrated Strategies Team.

By Jaspersmack on Thursday, July 14, 2005 - 02:37 pm:  Edit

Bloomberg usually have pretty good updates on the Brazilian economy and politics. According to this article, Real performed the best against the dollar in a basket of currencies. What bad luck!! Well, drink more and fuck less!? I doubt many of the hombres on this board will change plans because of the currency rate.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000086&sid=amFqYvuDyVn8&refer=latin_america

By Jaspersmack on Thursday, July 14, 2005 - 07:31 pm:  Edit

Here is another good link for those who like a visual image of where the real has been vs the dollar.
http://www.forexdirectory.net/real.html


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