| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, September 07, 2013 - 11:31 am: Edit |
I'll make another run for the big money in the Las Vegas Hilton's 2013 Super Football Contest which routinely gets some of the best sports bettors, sports services and touts around the world.
Last season saw a record number of entries and jackpot, 52 wins was needed to cash, I put up 48, 4 games back but beat 85% of the entrants.
WEEK 1
Saints -3
Lions -5.5
Cardinals +4.5
Raiders +9.5
Eagles +3.5
My final pick came down to 3 teams, Ravens +7.5, KC -4 or Eagles +3.5, we'll see if I made the right choice with the Eagles.
If I was taking action on these games I would get +10 with the Raiders, unfortunately it's only 9.5 in the contest, I'd wait out the Eagles game and try and get +4.
| By Fooledagain1 on Monday, September 09, 2013 - 06:21 am: Edit |
Off to a strong start sweeping the board on sunday 4-0 ATS.
Last season I won in 12 of the 17 weeks and now it's 13 of the last 18 weeks, hopefuuly I can keep this train rolling.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, September 12, 2013 - 08:08 am: Edit |
5-0 in week 1 and 6-1 in all picks.
There is a record number of entries in this years contest, 1034. $542,850 to the winner while the top 30 places cash.
Of which just 4 went 5-0 and another 8 went 4-0-1.
WEEK 2
1. Jets +11.5
2. Eagles -7.5
3. Colts -2.5
4. 49ers +3
5. Giants +4.5
My final pick came down to Giants +4.5, Cowboys +3 or Falcons -6.5. Last week I made the right choice hopefully I've done the same in week 2.
If I were going to take action on these games I'd wait it out to try and get -7 with the Eagles, the remaining spreads all look good.
| By sampson on Thursday, September 12, 2013 - 09:02 pm: Edit |
Best of luck.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, September 15, 2013 - 06:31 am: Edit |
Off to a good start in week 2 heading into today's action. I'd look for straight up wins for 49ers and Giants, should be some great games today.
| By Fooledagain1 on Tuesday, September 17, 2013 - 05:53 am: Edit |
Brutal week, 1-4 and make a bad choice on my final pick, went 3-4 with all picks.
Season 6-4.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, September 19, 2013 - 04:17 pm: Edit |
Week 3
Cheifs +3.5
Patroits -7
Jaguars +19
Raiders +15
Titans -3
My final pick came-down to Ravens +2.5 and Bengals + 2.5, Titans -3 and Saints -7.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, September 21, 2013 - 02:25 pm: Edit |
1-0 to start week 3.
| By Porker on Saturday, September 21, 2013 - 05:31 pm: Edit |
5-0 in week 1 is definitely something to crow about. Week 1 in the NFL is a BEAR, usually insanely unpredictable.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, September 22, 2013 - 05:30 pm: Edit |
2-1-1 in week 3 with all picks 5-1-1, not a bad week.
I'd ride the Bears tonight for another win.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, September 22, 2013 - 05:34 pm: Edit |
I made as bad a final pick as possible, the only team that did not cover of the 4.
Thanks Porker, looking forward to hear your thoughts throughout the seaon.
Jags look like the worst team again this year, I may consider taking them again next week.
| By Khun_mor on Tuesday, September 24, 2013 - 06:28 pm: Edit |
The Jags would have to be getting 30 points before I would even think of risking a dollar on them. What a cluster fuck of a team.
| By sampson on Tuesday, September 24, 2013 - 06:52 pm: Edit |
Jags most likely will cover the spread about 6 to 7 times in the next 14 weeks.
| By sampson on Tuesday, September 24, 2013 - 06:56 pm: Edit |
Would not be surprised to see the Jags get the cheese this week....getting 8.5 at home against a Indy team that over performed last week in San Francisco. Sets up nicely and all the suckers will line up on Indy most likely.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, September 26, 2013 - 04:41 am: Edit |
You got it Sampson, your buying the jags at a all-time low price.
They will be one of my picks this week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, September 26, 2013 - 04:54 am: Edit |
WEEK 4
49ers -3
Jaguars +7.5
Texans +2.5
Giants +4
Eagles +10.5
Season to date - 8-6-1
Season to date with all picks posted - 15-7-1 which includes the Bears pick posted just prior to the start of the game.
I would get +3 with the Texans which is available but not in the contest which uses the Hilton's weds line.
My overall 15-7-1 record would be good enough for 2cd place in net wins when compared to 100 or so touts being monitored by the sports monitor of Oklhoma City.
Not to shabby, off to a pretty strong start except I did put the wrong picks in the contest which is why the contest with exactly 5 picks is difficult and using a mid-week line means no shopping for the best price.
I'm pretty confident I get a winning week this week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, September 28, 2013 - 05:08 am: Edit |
1-0 start to week 4.
| By Khun_mor on Sunday, September 29, 2013 - 05:33 pm: Edit |
0-4 to finish. I warned you not to play the Jags unless they were getting more than 30 points! lol
| By Porker on Wednesday, October 02, 2013 - 03:49 pm: Edit |
I crapped out on Gabbert and the Jags week 1 last year. They have been money AGAINST since...
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, October 06, 2013 - 07:54 am: Edit |
How did the Texans lose that game ? Up 17 at the half and a pick six with less than 3 minutes remaining, ouch that game was a killer.
That game cost me two really bad weeks of 4.
And as I mentioned above, getting 3 was key but not to be using the weds line in the contest.
9-10-1 on the season in the contest
16-11-1 with all picks posted
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, October 06, 2013 - 08:00 am: Edit |
WEEK 5
Texans +6.5
Bears PK
Giants -2.5
KC -2.5
How bout those cowboys +7.5
If I was taking action I'd of gotten the Texans at +7, which was available.
Yea Jags look like the worst team in history by far, but I suspect they will have their moments in the sun, coming soon.
If they fail to cover this week I'll think hard to back them next week VS Denver, the line opened -26.5 and has dropped a half point to -26 at books in vegas.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, October 06, 2013 - 03:57 pm: Edit |
How bout those Cowboys, they go up 41-38
| By Copperfieldkid on Sunday, October 06, 2013 - 04:44 pm: Edit |
The Cowboys lost....Peyton came thru again![]()
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, October 06, 2013 - 05:54 pm: Edit |
2-2, need a win with Houston tonight, the same team cost me last week. Hopefully they don't display such horrendous play again.
Actually the defense came through with a INT.
Denvers defense is very porous, they ranked 24th in the league in ave gain per pass att and were destroyed by Romo today.
Teams like Denver don't win Super Bowls, at some point in the playoffs or SB a team will beat this defense.
| By Copperfieldkid on Monday, October 07, 2013 - 07:54 am: Edit |
Fooledagain,
regarding the Texans, if they get any worse they can park in the handicap spaces. Prediction: Schaub will be gone, and Coach Kubiak is a coin toss as far as returning after this season, which we're not even a 1/4 into.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, October 10, 2013 - 10:55 am: Edit |
Did Schaub actually throw a pick-six on the first play of the game ?
That was 4 games in a row for a pick-six, insane. A NFL record.
Houston is a shadow of themselves last year, but they have a winnable game this week, we'll see how they respond.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, October 10, 2013 - 11:00 am: Edit |
2-3 ATS in week.
11-13-1 in the contest and 18-14-1 with all picks posted.
Had a tough time getting 5 picks last week, not so this week.
Surprised to see the Bears lose after out-playing the Saints last week, ussually doesn't bode well for teams winning while getting out-played.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, October 10, 2013 - 11:05 am: Edit |
WEEK 6
Patroits -2.5
Lions -2.5
Chargers +1.5
Jaguars +26.5
Giants +7.5
My final 2 picks came-down to 3 teams, Giants, Lions or Raiders +8.5, we'll see if I made the right choices.
I pretty confident I'll finish with a winning record this week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Friday, October 11, 2013 - 09:10 am: Edit |
1-0 off to a good start this week. I've been money on thursday night games.
I was pretty busy this week and missed a strong play on Houston this weekend, I should of had Houston instead of the Lions in the contest.
But to late now, we'll see how that goes.
If I was taking action on these games I'd get +28 with Jaguars, -7 with Texans, those numbers were around, and I'd wait-out the Chargers game to hopefully try and get +3 before the start.
| By Fooledagain1 on Monday, October 14, 2013 - 07:42 am: Edit |
4-0 heading into monday night. I made all the right choices this week, that was big.
4-2 with all picks posted.
Houston looks pathetic, but hey I'll be riding them next week with one of my picks, we'll see how that works-out.
| By sampson on Monday, October 14, 2013 - 11:27 pm: Edit |
I play every week and I do pretty good, but I entered a contest with maybe 10 guys and we had to pick 5 games the first 8 or 9 weeks, and then 6 per week after that. I think I was above 50% maybe 3 years of 5...I just cannot pick 5 games...I am 9-5 on the season and I am pretty sure I would not have won 9 of the first 15 if I was having to pick so many games. I'm glad to see you doing well and keep it up. (that is what she said) 
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, October 19, 2013 - 10:49 am: Edit |
5-0 last week in the cotest, needed that week. 5-2 with all picks.
Seaon in contest 16-13-1
Season with all picks 23-16-1
I now have 5.4 net wins including the juice.
How good is that ?
Good enough to rank tied for 6th when matched with about a 100 or so touts on the sports monitor of OKC's web site.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, October 19, 2013 - 10:53 am: Edit |
WEEK 7
Texans +6.5
Titans +4
Dolphins -8
Colts +6.5
Panthers -6
I'm pretty confident of another winning week.
If I were taking action on these games I try and get +7 with both Texans and Colts.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, October 19, 2013 - 10:56 am: Edit |
I agree Sampson, picking exactly 5 games is much tougher.
I'm working on a few ways to refine some picks, I used one of those this week, we'll see how it goes.
| By sampson on Saturday, October 19, 2013 - 02:40 pm: Edit |
Best of Luck.
| By Fooledagain1 on Monday, October 21, 2013 - 06:11 am: Edit |
3-2 this week, I'm a little disappointed I didn't get at least 4 wins but hey I'll take the winning week.
Season in contest 19-15-1
All picks 26-18-1, net wins +6.2
| By Fooledagain1 on Wednesday, October 23, 2013 - 05:30 pm: Edit |
WEEK 8
Bucs +6
Jaguars +16.5
Browns +7.5
Dolphins+6.5
Seahawks -10.5
I've been strong on thursday nights, we'll see how this one goes with the Bucs.
I was pushing to get 5 picks this week and got some bad numbers but had to go with them. +17 is available with Jaguars, +7 with Dolphins, hopefully I don't get burnt by .5 point.
I'm now 2.5 games out of the money and 5.5 back from 1st place. I'm still hanging in there right where I need to be at this point, anything can happen with plenty of weeks remaining.
| By sampson on Thursday, October 24, 2013 - 09:07 am: Edit |
Best of luck this week.
| By Porker on Thursday, October 24, 2013 - 09:46 pm: Edit |
more schiano/rookie qb sit and spin...
| By Fooledagain1 on Wednesday, October 30, 2013 - 07:16 pm: Edit |
1-4, can't belive Miami didn't cover that game, they were up 17-3 and should of won outright.
2 horrendous calls went against them and cost me bigtime.
Season in contest 20-19-1
All picks 27-22-1
| By Fooledagain1 on Wednesday, October 30, 2013 - 07:19 pm: Edit |
WEEK 9
Dolphins +2.5
Falcons +7.5
Vikings +10
Eagles +2.5
Seahawks -16
I'd try and get 3 with Miami and Philly if possible.
| By sampson on Wednesday, October 30, 2013 - 11:43 pm: Edit |
3 is available with Miami, but I would not be surprised if 3.5 shows up and I would buy the hook anyway. I know that contest won't let you. I figure to have Philly as well.
See you are staying away from the sucker plays like Indy. Suckers are all over Oakland as well. I heard the casinos got beat badly last Sunday, and it makes sense the way you are betting...bet on the sucker plays and you only win when the casino loses...and they don't lose often.
| By Fooledagain1 on Friday, November 01, 2013 - 11:50 am: Edit |
1-0 off to a good start once again on thursday night.
That was easily available at 3 and I did see some 3.5's out there.
Not sure if Eagles will get to +3 but I'd wait it out and see, they should win straight up so probally won't need it but one never knows and should always try to protect yourself getting to a very key number like 3.
I hear that Sampson, the books got killed last week and now the squares have plenty of money this week, they gave some of it back on Bengals.
I saw some post online how the Bengals were the easiest play this week and how no-one could justify a play on Dolphins, when you start see kind of talk it's indicative teams have reached a peak.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, November 07, 2013 - 06:01 am: Edit |
3-2 for the week
Season in the contest 23-21-1
All picks 30-24-1
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, November 09, 2013 - 05:17 pm: Edit |
WEEK 10
Packers -1.5
Falcons +6
Chargers +7
Jaguars +11.5
Rams +9.5
This was by far the hardest week to get 5 picks, including last year as well.
I hope I live to talk about it, need a winning week in the worst way to stay in the race for the money.
If I was taking action on these games I'd look to get 10 with the Rams which was available earlier in the week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Wednesday, November 13, 2013 - 06:34 pm: Edit |
2-3 for week 10.
25-24-1 in the contest
32-27-1 all pics
| By Fooledagain1 on Wednesday, November 13, 2013 - 06:37 pm: Edit |
WEEK 11
Colts -2.5
Falcons -1.5
Redskins +3.5
49ers +3
Patroits +2.5
I have much better, stronger plays this week and am confident I'll finish with a winning record. Hopefully I can get 4 or 5 wins would help out at this point.
| By Fooledagain1 on Friday, November 15, 2013 - 05:34 pm: Edit |
1-0 another winner on thursday night.
| By Fooledagain1 on Thursday, November 21, 2013 - 04:38 pm: Edit |
WEEK 12
Falcons +9
Lions -9
Bears +1
Raiders -1
Packers -5
Hopefully my thursday night magic continues.
Another tough week to find solid picks, the bye teams were my picks.
Last week 1-3-1, could of easily won with Pats and Skins got a few bad breaks early.
26-27-2 contest
33-30-2 all picks
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, November 24, 2013 - 09:42 am: Edit |
1-0 another thursday night winner.
Last week got hit by the midweek line as 49ers cover the closing line of +3.5 which was easily available.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, November 24, 2013 - 05:30 pm: Edit |
Denver -1 I'll add another pick
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 01, 2013 - 06:16 am: Edit |
1-4 son of a gun, I'm up a creek without a pattle now. I'll try any bounce back and finish somewhat resepctable.
1-5 all picks.
27-31-1 in the contest
34-35-2 in all picks, my first time being under .500 all season, let's see if I can bounce bacvk above .500 this week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 01, 2013 - 06:24 am: Edit |
WEEK 13
Eagles -3
Bucs +8
Chargers pk
Texans +7.5
Jets -2
Had 7 picks this week and needed to get that down to 5.
Other picks, Browns -7, 49ers -8
Hopefully I made the right choices.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 08, 2013 - 07:12 am: Edit |
1-3-1 for the week and 2-4-1 with all picks.
season in contest 28-34-2
all picks 36-39-3
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 08, 2013 - 07:16 am: Edit |
WEEK 14
49ers -3
Jets -2.5
Browns +11.5
Packers -3.5
Colts +6
Last pick was choice between Colts or Rams +6.5, I went with Colts.
Very confident I turn things around this week and get a winning record, to little to late I know.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 15, 2013 - 08:33 am: Edit |
2-3 last week and 2-4 overall picks
season in contest 30-37-2
all picks 38-43-3
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 15, 2013 - 08:40 am: Edit |
WEEK 15
Giants +7
Packers +7.5
Redskins +6.5
Ttians + 2.5
Raiders +4.5
my final pick was between 49ers -5.5, Rams +6, Browns -1, and the Raiders and I went with the Raiders.
I got a couple of bad lines with Redskins +7 is out there and +3 with the Titans can be had, hopefully they won't come into play.
This might be my strongest week of the season, anything less than 4-1 would be a disappointment.
| By Porker on Monday, December 16, 2013 - 04:07 pm: Edit |
same theme, pick crap... might have a point in nether weeks (weeks 1, 15-17)
kc chefs last week was like stealing money?
| By Fooledagain1 on Monday, December 16, 2013 - 04:56 pm: Edit |
Lions -4.5 tonight
| By Porker on Monday, December 16, 2013 - 11:26 pm: Edit |
4.5? I saw -7?
Stafford late TD made it me vs. my hated rival in fantasy championship this week. His game actually tied on late stafford pick, tiebreak was highest seed advances... Me, I survived the Jamaal Charles 5 TD onslaught because Peyton and Damarious and OrangeJulius shit the bed...
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, December 21, 2013 - 12:06 pm: Edit |
Holy Gotham City Batman, the Joker must be up to no good, normally picks this strong would produce winning records 75% of the time.
Not sure what's going on in the NFL this season but I'd expect it to return to normal next season.
With that said, I have more strong picks again this week and am quite confident that things will return to normal thiks week.
2-3 for the contest and 32-40-2 for the season
4-5 in all picks, but did get a bad line of +2.5 with Titans with +3 easily available, so easily could of been 4-4-1 with all picks but went 4-5 because of the contest line which line.
The contest line got me a few times this season.
42-48-3 on the season
On to next week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, December 21, 2013 - 12:11 pm: Edit |
WEEK 16
Bengals -7
Raiders +10
Gaints +9.5
Falcons +12.5
Zona +10.5
Also in consideration was Eagles -3, Cowboys -3, Colts +7
I have some strong plays this week and should turn a winning record. A 1 loss week would be nice.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, December 21, 2013 - 12:13 pm: Edit |
Porker, Late sharp money came in on the Ravens last monday night driving the line down to Lions -4.5 at some places, I quess the sharps were right on that game.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, December 22, 2013 - 09:12 pm: Edit |
3-1, 5-2 in all picks. Damn Raiders inside the 5 late but couldn't get in. Geez.....................
| By Fooledagain1 on Tuesday, December 24, 2013 - 04:51 am: Edit |
4-1 and 6-2 with all picks, that's the way we do it. Could of easily been 5-0 and 7-1 if Raiders get a TD from inside the 5.
season in contest 36-41-2
all picks 48-50-3
can still finish with a winning record in all picks, but would have a winning record if I did not have to use the mid-week line of the contest, cost me at least 4 losses.
| By Fooledagain1 on Saturday, December 28, 2013 - 06:51 pm: Edit |
WEEK 17
Ravens +6
Texans +7
Raiders +12.5
Jaguars +11.5
Seahawks -10.5
Other games of consideration were, Cowboys +6.5, Bills +9, and Cheifs +9.5
I should turn a winning record this week.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, February 02, 2014 - 03:33 pm: Edit |
The P. Manning Super Bowl Fade Show about to begin.
Ride the Seahawks +2, ML and 1st half.
| By Fooledagain1 on Sunday, February 02, 2014 - 05:09 pm: Edit |
P. Manning getting abused, 1st half easy winner.
| By Fooledagain1 on Monday, February 03, 2014 - 01:01 pm: Edit |
3-0 on Super Bowl Sunday