Subtopic	Posts		Updated
	Archive 01	50		2006/02/05, 05:39 pm
	Archive 02	50		2006/05/21, 12:21 pm

Fooledagain1`s Express has slowed to a crawl, just sit tight, I see clear tracks around the next corner, we`ll be back to full speed soon.

Pistons -5 (-120) over Cavs (game 6) --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Pistons -3 1st half --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Mavs -1 (-120) over Spurs (game 6) --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Mavs -.5 1st half --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

\i{Fooledagain1`s Express has slowed to a crawl

As usual, I'm sorry to hear that, as you seem like a nice guy.

But again, some not so humble advice: Have you EVER considered NOT betting your 'unit' and just enjoying the games? Nobody here cares if you're right or wrong. Your mortgage, broker (Uhmmm, I HOPE, for your sake, it's not a BOOKIE!!!), howver...

Porker ANTHONY's baseball express: Bet 150 units on San Fran/Oak over 8.5.

150 units at +132

1-0. At least it was close!

Pistons -8 (-120) over Cavs (game 7) --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Pistons -4.5 1st half --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

What was around the next corner was an oncoming train.

Mavs +4 over Spurs (game 7) --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Mavs +2 (-115) 1st half --- 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Pistons -5 (-120) over Heat (game 1) --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Pistons -3 1st half --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Pistons to win series 4-0 over Heat (+1000) --- 1 unit to win 10 units

Congrats on the last two games. But, this was a bit of a bummer: "Spurs to win title (+400) --- 7 units to win 28 units ".

Mavs -6 over Suns (game 1) --- 4.4 units to win 4 units
Mavs -3 1st half --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

2 team parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Mavs -6
Mavs under 221

2 team parlay 1st half --- 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Mavs -3
Mavs under 112

Actually losing Spurs to win title was a good thing, as I`ve also got Mavs to win tittle 5 units to win 50 units, geez now which one would i prefer to win.

And i bet Mavs to win series over Spurs to get back the 7 units.

Should be a walk in the park for the Mavs now.

Mavs -4.5 (-130) 2cd half over Suns (game 1) --- 3.9 to win 3 units

2 team parlay 2cd half --- 1 unit to win 2.37 units
Mavs -4.5 (-130)
Mavs under 111

Walk in the park ??

FA, with all your sports wagering, do you have time to fuck?

Looks like 95% of his posts are about gambling. Methinks he has found the wrong website.

Ugly again.

Hmmm ... Pistons -3 would have done it tonight, I guess Fooled Again is getting gunshy.

Mavs (down 1-0)to win series over Suns (-140) --- 9.8 units to win 7 units

By the way, Pistons were 6.5 pt favs not 3, I`ll wait for game 3 , much better, will be looking for a major score this weekend. Finally got good situations to go for major score.

or a major loss... gl

2006 playoffs - parlays using different sports

5 team parlay --- .5 units to win 16.3 units
Mavs -8 over Suns(NBA, game 2)
Pistons ml +140 over Heat (NBA, game 3)
Dallas Desporado`s -6.5 over Georgia (arena football)
Orlando -3 over Philly (arena football)
Frankfurt +2 over Amsterdam (world football championship game)

If you are betting on Arena Football, well, let's just say that you are one step away from investing in penny stocks.

2006 Arena Football Playoffs

Dallas -6 (-120) over Georgia --- 4.8 units to win 4 units
Orlando -3 over Philly --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
Chicago +4 (-120) over Colarado --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit


2006 World Football Championship Game
Frankfurt +3 (-135) over Amsterdamn --- 2.7 units to win 2 units

2006 playoff parlays - using combination different sports
4 team parlay --- .5 units to win 9.1 units
Frankfurt +2 (world)
Dallas -6.5 (arena)
Orlando -3 (arena)
Pistons ml +140 (game 3)(nba)

2 team parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.46 units
Dallas -6 (-120) (arena)
Orlando -3 (arena)
a win on this parlay goes on Mavs ml game 3 over Suns as line not out yet

Pistons +3 over Heat (game 3) --- 2.2 units to win 2 units
Pistons ml +140 --- 1 unit to win 1.4 units
Pistons +1.5 1st half --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Pistons going down in 3. U heard it here FA.

As much as I want the Big Chubby to lose I cannot see the Heat going down in this game. Pistons looked pretty hopeless last game. I know they win the odd number games but that's just an oddity not something to bank on.

Good luck to ya FA I actually hope I'm wrong. I think you're getting into deep doo doo when you start with hopeless 4-5 game parlays and Arena - Euro Football.

Hate to say it, but I told you so FA. Heat are going to head to the finals vs the mavs.

KM, game 2 the pistons looked helpless? You see the same game I did?

DM
I guess I did not convey what I meant. Pistons were damn lucky to win that game. Down the stretch they looked hopeless and blew a big lead without much of a fight in return. A couple of key plays let them sneak out of town with a split instead of down 0-2. I thought those last couple of minutes showed the handwriting on the wall for the Pistons who are lucky not to be watching the games in bars already .

BTW I'll take the Heat and the Suns in the finals with the Suns taking it all.

0 units to win 0 units.

FA, you are just throwing your money away at this point.

It kind of reminds me of the albino in the Da Vinci Code, the guy who was whipping himself as self punishment. Stop, already!

Suns are a damn good team KM. I'm a dirk fan tho and I think if they loosen up with the bombs, then can rule. Yes, the pistons did let up towards the end there in game 2, but damn they had wade flustered and it showed. I agree, detroit should be exiting stage left soon. Neither the heat nor miami looks to match up well vs either the sun or mavs... we shall see.

Fooledagain1 does it again, sweeps the board in Arena Football Playoffs and wins World Bowl.

2006 PLAYOFF PARLAYS - usind combination of different sports
2 team parlay --- win 2.46 units
Dallas 62 - 27 over Georgia
Orlando 31-27 over Philly

now to continue parlay,
Mavs +1 over Suns (game 3) --- 3.46 units to win 3.15 units

2006 NBA Playoffs
Mavs +2 (-120) over Suns --- 8.4 units to win 7 units
Mavs +.5 1st half --- 3.3 units to win 3 units

2006 NBA Playoffs

4 team parlay --- lost .5 units
3 team parlay lost 1 unit

Clips game 3 over Suns --- lost 2.2 unit
Clips 1st half --- lost 1.1 units

Mavs game 3 over Spurs --- lost 4.4 units
Mavs 1st half --- won 2 units

2 team parlay game 3 --- lost 2 units
Clips Mavs

2 team parlay 1st half --- lost 1 unit
Clips
Mavs

2 team parlay game 3 --- lost 1 unit
Mavs
under

2 team parlay 1st half --- lost 1 unit
Mavs
under

2 team parlay game 4 --- won 2.55 units
Clips
Mavs

2 team parlays 1st half --- lost 1 unit
Clips Mavs

Pistons game 5 over Cavs --- lost 1.1 units
Pistons 1st half --- lost 1.15 units

Spurs game 5 over Mavs --- lost 1.1 units
Spurs 1st half --- lost 1.15 units

2 team parlay game 5 --- lost 1 unit
Spurs under

lost 20.7 units-won 4.55 units = lost 16.15 units

NBA Playoffs to date --- Won 19.8 units - lost 16.15 units = 3.65 units

Pistons game 6 over Cavs --- lost 1.2 units
Pistons 1st half --- lost 1.1 units

Mavs game 6 over Spurs --- lost 1.2 units
Mavs 1st half --- won 1 unit

Pistons game 7 over Cavs --- won 1 unit
Pistons 1st half --- lost 1.1 unit

Mavs +4 game 7 over Spurs --- won 1 unit
Mavs 1st half --- won 1 unit



Pistons game 1 over Heat --- lost 1.2 units
Pistons 1st half --- lost 1.1 units

Pistons to win series over Heat 4-0 --- lost 1 unit

Mavs game 1 over Suns --- lost 4.4 units
Mavs 1st half --- lost 2.2 units

2 team parlay game 1 --- lost 1 unit
Mavs
under

2 team parlay 1st half --- lost 1 unit
Mavs
under

Mavs 2cd half --- lost 3.9 units

2 team parlay 2cd half --- lost 1 unit
Mavs under

Pistons game 3 over Heat --- lost 2.2 units
Pistons ml --- lost 1 unit
Pistons 1st half --- lost 1.1 units

lost 25.7 units - won 4 units = lost 21.7 units

NBA Playoffs to date --- won 3.65 units - 21.7 units = lost 18.05 units

Mavs to win series over Spurs --- win 6.6 units
Clips to win series over Suns --- lost 2 units

NBA Playoffs to date --- lost 13.45 units

Fooledagain1 does it again: LOSES HIS ASS!

Sorry for the stupid question, but how much is a "unit"? I don't bet on sports much, but when I do, I bet in USD.

DM
Up to You !
It's only used as point of reference for rate of return. One dollar gets 1:1 -- 100 dollars multiply by 100 etc.

ok, like options, 1=100.

A unit is whatever an individual is comfertable with, keeping in mind my best bets are 11 units, so if someone`s largest bet on a best bet is $1100 then a unit would be $100, if your best bet is $110 then a unit is $10, and so on.

2006 NBA Playoffs
Mavs -6 (-120) over Suns (game 5) --- 3.6 units to win 3 units
Mavs -3.5 (-115) 1st half --- 1.15 units to win 1 unit


2006 Playoff parlays - using combination of sports

2 team parlay --- 1.3 units to win 2.87 units
Mavs -6 (-120) over Suns (game 5)
Orlando +10 (-130) over Dallas (arena football conference finals)

well at least your up 1.85 units

YES SIR !!!!! When all the experts proir to start of playoffs said Detroit was unbeatable and would win the title, Fooledagain1 rode the 10-1 longshot Dallas Mavs and now sits 1 series away from a major 50 unit score. BRINGitON !!!!!!

2006 NBA Playoffs

Mavs +2 over Suns (game 3) --- win 7 units
Mavs 1st half --- lost 3.3 units

Mavs -6 over Suns (game 5) --- win 3 units
Mavs 1st half --- lost 1.15 units

Mavs (down 1-0) to win series over Suns --- won 7 units

won 17 units - lost 4.45 units = won 12.55 units

2006 NBA Playoffs to date --- lost .9 units

Futures Bet place before start of Playoffs still alive
Mavs to win the title (+1000) --- 5 units to win 50 units

2006 Arena Football Playoffs

Dallas -6 over Goergia --- won 4 units
Orlando -3 over Philly --- won 2 units
Chicago +4 over Colorado --- won 1 unit

2006 Arena Playoffs to date --- won 7 units


2006 Europe League - Championship Game

Frankfurt +3 over Amsterdamn --- won 2 units


2006 Playoff Parlays - Using Combination of Different Sports

5 team parlay --- lost .5 units
4 team parlay --- lost .5 units

3 team parlay --- won 5.61 units
Dallas -6 over Georgia (Arena)
Orlando -3 over Philly (Arena)
won these 2 then let everything ride on
Mavs (game3) over Suns

2006 Playoff Parlay of Different Sports --- won 4.61 units

halfway home on 2 team parlay --- 1.3 units to win 2.87 units
Mavs (game 5) over Suns (won)
Orlando +10 over Dallas (Arena)

now, i will try for a middle
Dallas -7(-150) over Orlando --- 1.5 units to win 1 unit

2006 NHL Stanley Cup

Edmonton (+125)to win series over Carolina --- 4 units to win 3.75 units

"When all the experts proir to start of playoffs said Detroit was unbeatable and would win the title"


cough... I didn't

now for the tough part... I had believed miami didnt match up well vs dallas, but dallas showed some major inconsistency. Now one could argue that it was caused by the sun's tempo. If so, miami's style suits dallas well. I'm going to be pulling for shaq/dwayne, but I think the dallas offense will overcome come them UNLESS Antwain heats up (i.e. don't think just shaq and dwayne are going to beat them). it's going to be close tho.

NO NO NO stay away from my oilers....por favor....
I may place some bets for the world cup, I like to bet against some minnows.

Geez, now i can`t add, let`s try this again

2006 NHL Stanley Cup
Edmonton +125 to win series over Carolina --- 4 units to win 5 units (not 3.75 as was posted above)

Mavs are 1 of rare teams in history to outplay thier oppenents in every stat throughout entire regular season, to much balance, they can beat you in so many different ways.

Wade shot 61.7% , Shag 65.5%, Williams a carrer below 40% shooter, shot 54.8% against Pistons , unheard of high % that cannot be mantian over time, there`s only 1 way to go and that`s down.

Miami outshot Pistons 51.5 - 39.7 that`s 11.8 % but only out scored them by 5.1 points, that`s screaming at you telling you to beware, no way they outshot Dallas by anywhere close to that amount.

Look for the 3 players mentioned above to come back to earth and shot below their season ave. as this is very common. When Miami`s making shots at such a high rate they look like world beaters, and when they don`t they`ll look very average.

This is the perfect senerio for Dallas to dominate the series, don`t be surprised.

still feeling good about edmonton without their goalie? I'm not.

The Oiler's are now officially -- TOAST .

If they had even a decent backup it might still be possible but they have 2 total losers who haven't even played a minute in almost 2 months.

Oh -- except to flub a clearing pass and set up the game winning empty net goal - forgot about that quality time.

Edmonton`s up a creek without a paddle, it`s all over but the crying.

2006 Playoff Parlays with diff sports

2 team parlay --- won 2.87 units
Mavs game 5 over Suns
Orlando +10 over Dallas (Arena)

attempt to middle with parlay
Dallas -7 over Orlando --- lost 1.5 units

2006 Playoff Parlays w/ diff sports --- won 5.98 units


2 Team Parlay --- 3 units to win 7.8 units
Mavs -5 over Heat (game 1)
Orlando -2.5 over Chicago (Arena Championship)

2 team parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.6 units
Mavs -3 1st half (game1)
Orlando -2.5 over Chicago

2006 NBA Finals --- Dallas vs Miami

Regular season stats

Dallas - 54.4 --- Mavs by 1
Miami - 53.4
Since 1974, the first year the league kept defensive stats , teams .75 or better have won series 17-3 (85%), including Detroit by 1.55 over Lakers in 2004.


Playoffs stats

Dallas - 55.41 --- Mavs by 1.8
Miami - 53.6

Miami has played about the same throughout playoffs as they did in regular season whereas Dallas has turned up their game quite a bit in playoffs and they did it against much better quality of oppenents than Miami played.

Miami`s 3 playoff oppenents ave 51.3 wins in regular season
Dallas 3 opponents ave 55.3 wins

Miami`s 3 playoff opponents had scoring differential of 2.87 pts in regular season
Dallas 3 opponents had 5.37 scoring differential

Miami`s 3 opp had regular season stats of 51.62
Dallas 3 opp 52.83

When you factor in that Miami`s best opponent, the Pistons, were a shadow of the team that went through regular season with the best record , Dallas looks even better.

Anyway you slice it, Mavs played better against better opponents, Don`t be surprised if Mavs dominate this series.

Mavs -5 over Heat (game1) --- 4.4 units to win 4 units
Mavs -3 1st half --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

I put $300 on Germany to beat Costa Rica and $200 on England to beat Trinidad, f. units make no sense to me, my thinking is USA destroyed both teams so I would expect both Germany and England needing a win to win comfortably by at least 2 goals. And to my surprise I even got laid tonight in TJ.

Oilers need a win on Sat but they need a triple OT game to sap Carolina. Carolina started to look formidable as soon as they found their goalie vs Montreal. Obviously I am not very optimistic.

Soccer odds are horrible to deal with and you always have to worry about the friggin draw where both bets lose - unless you're dumb enough to have bet on a draw.

you're probably getting about $325 back on your $300 bet for Da Jhermans yavhol ??

Oilers totally quit in the first period of Wednesday's game and were out hustled, out hit, out everythinged the rest of the game. They may win one at home but not likely. Where in the world did this Cam Ward guy come from. He has made saves that would make ole Patty Roy envious .

Ward is a f. rookie...he beat Montreal by himself

No I consider soccer bets like a loan to caliente, lines had already moved by last night, i was shocked. I got -320 and -220 or something like that. I would put more but it is always a hassle at caliente to get money from them.

I have stopped gambling on nfl with too many losses. I'd rather be addicted to sex than to gambling.

2006 NBA Playoffs - Finals

Mavs -5 over Heat (game 1) --- won 4 units
Mavs 1st half --- lost 2.2 units

2006 NBA Playoffs to date --- won .9 units

2006 Playoff parlays w/ diff sports

2 team parlay --- lost 1 unit
Mavs 1st half over Heat (NBA)(game 1)
Orlando -2.5 over Chicago (Arena)


2006 Playoff Parlays w/ diff sports to date --- won 4.98 units


halfway home on 2 team parlay --- 3 units to win 7.8 units
Mavs -5 over Heat (game 1) (NBA)won
Orlando -2.5 over Chicago (Arena Bowlchampionship game)


2 team parlay 1.1 unit to win 2.7 units
Mavs/ Heat over 188 (-120) (NBA)(game 2)
Orlando -3 over Chicago (Arena)

2006 Arena Playoffs - Championship Game

Orlando (10-6) vs Chicago (7-9)

each teams record in regular season at winning the most important stats that correlate to winning Arena title

Orlando 33(wins)-15(loses) - (5 games better)
Chicago 28-21

playoffs and regular season

Orlando 37.5-16.5 - (5.75 games better)
Chicago 31.75-22.25

How did Chicago a 7-9 team get to Arena Bowl Championship Game ?

Well, let`s look at each teams opponents through the playoffs ;

Orlando`s opp.
Philly 27-22
Dallas 32-17

Chicago`s opp.
Nashville 23-25 (wild card game)
Colorado 18.5- 29.5 (Colorado had 2cd best record in league, was no.1 seed in conf. and was the defending champs)
San Jose 22.5-25.5 (no. 2 seed,won title in 2004)

Orlando`s 2 playoff opp. ave. 29.5 wins
Chicago`s 3 playoff opp. ave. 21.3 wins

Chicago a 7-9 team played the combination of 2 of the worst division winners maybe in the history of sports, that`s how they got to final.

Because both Colorado and San Jose both won titles and have plenty of experience everyone`s looking at Chicago as a good team, they`re not, the experience both those teams have gives you tremendous value to go against it, in otherwords on Orlando, and is why Orlando is only 2.5 to 3 pt fav. this point spread is way off because of the experience of those 2 teams which Chicago beat.

Experience tells you how good a team was in the years when they gained the experience, IT NEVER TELLS YOU HOW GOOD A TEAM IS THIS YEAR.

This game has blowout written all over it.

2006 Arena Bowl - Championship Game

Orlando -3 over Chicago --- 4.4 units to win 4 units

Funny I thought the game had BORING written all over it.

Does anyone even watch that stuff ??

Guess you're going to be down to the WNBA and NASCAR soon for your gambling fix eh ??

I sure wish miami would at least sleep the night prior to the game. They are looking like a practice squad.

Geez, what happen to Orlando Predators, no way they should of lost that game, Chicago got every break in the book and Orlando still was right there to win.

NBA Finals

Mavs +3 (-120) over Heat (game 4) 2.4 units to win 2 units
Mavs ml (+110) --- 1 unit to win 1.1 unit

Hey, any sports that history shows the best teams win a good percentage of times I`ll be more than happy to pick up some wins, I`ll make a run in the WNBA Playoffs coming in aug.

KM, now that's domination and butter! I must say, it looks like the nightlife in southbeach got the Mavs outa gas How many bricks can they toss up in a night?

FA,

I can't follow your arena football and wnba plays, but your NBA betting is pretty much showing a random outcome. If you keep this up, you will be down just your vigorish, which is how the bookies like it.

Suspending Stack was lame. I cannot believe it.

Anyway, anything to help Miami along is good -- they have to win this one and hope to steal one in TX.

Mavs +3 (-120) over Heat (game 5) --- 9.6 units to win 8 units
Mavs +1.5 1st half --- 2.2 units to win 2 units

2 team parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.46
Mavs +3 (-120)
Mavs under 187

Explorer,
2004 NBA Playoffs --- won 96.65 net units
2005 NBA Playoffs --- won 97.49 net units
2006 NBA Playoffs --- lost 2.6 units

It appears the vigorish has a long, long, long, long, long, long way to go to catch up to fooledagain1 in the NBA Playoffs.

Even in my worst year the vigorish can only hold about even, hasn`t gained much at all. In the short run anything can happen, in the long run the vigorish has little chance to hang with fooledagain1.

Actually, the bookies could care less about who wins or loses, it doesn`t matter, the vigorish is their profit. Sports betting is different from any other game, the losers pay the winners and the book just holds the money and charges the vigorish for the service. You never bet against the house, you bet against the people betting the other side.

Where did you get mavs +3 -120? I had them at +2 -110 right about the time you posted. In any case, we both won. I also lucked out on the overtime and hit the over.

Got -2.5 on offshore book and bought .5 pt., a few places had 2.5. The money came in on Miami, 1 offshore book was reporting 70% of money coming in on Miami.

The number also closed at 2.5 in Vegas, as many spots had 2.5.

Are you suggesting that the bookmakers are using the point spread to even out the money between the two sides? I thought that the bookmakers were actually betting on the games themselves!?

Brutal!

2006 Arena Playoffs

Orlando -3 over Chicago --- Lost 4.4 units

2006 Arena Football Playoffs to Date --- Won 2.6 units

2006 Playoff Parlays w/ diff Sports
2 Team Parlay --- lost 3 units
Mavs (game 1) over Heat
Orlando -3 Over Chicago (Arena)

2 Team Parlay --- lost 1.1 units
Mavs game 1 over 188
Orlando -3 (Arena)


2006 Playoff Parlays w/ diff Sports to date --- won .88 units

2006 Europe League
Frankfurt +3 over Amsterdamn --- won 2 units

2006 Europe League to Date --- Won 2 units

2006 NHL Playoffs

Edmonton to win series over Carolina (+125) --- lost 4 units

2006 NHL Playoffs to date --- lost 4 units


2006 NBA Playoffs

Mavs +3 (-120)over Heat (game 4) --- lost 2.4 units
Mavs ml +110 --- lost 1 unit

Mavs +3 (-120) over Heat (game 4) --- won 8 units
Mavs +1.5 1st half --- won 2 units

2 team parlay --- lost 1 unit
Mavs +3
Mavs under 187

Futures
Mavs to win title (+1000) --- lost 5 units
Spurs to win title (+400) --- lost 7 units

2006 NBA Playoffs to date --- lost 5.5 units

Teams like Miami winning the title are the exceptions NOT the general rule. To find a team similar to Miami - a team that didn`t finish 1st or 2cd statisically in the league - that won the title you`d have to go all the way back to 1995 when the Rockets beat Shag`s magic.

Much like the Steelers winning the Super Bowl, to find a team that`s not the 1st or 2cd statisical team winning the Super Bowl you`d have to go back to the 2001 season with the Pats winning as the worst statistical team ever. But prior to the Pats you`d have to go all the way back to the strike year of 1987 with the Redskins beating Denver.

Don`t fall into the trap of thinking teams like these will now start winning titles, it will most likely return to the norm next season and many seasons after. You`ll likely hear "the experts" trying to find the next 6th seed that`ll win the SB, or the next 52-30, 5th best record team winning the NBA title, it may not happen again for years.

The Steelers became the 10th team in the super bowl era to win 30 games or more over a 2 year period. (31-7) (81.6%)

How have the previous 9 hot teams done the
following season.

5 of 9 won divisions
4 of 9 did not

1 of 9 won over 11 games (Dallas 94 won 12) (The Pats last season won just 10) (Da Bears went 9-3 in strike year of 87 which would be 12-4 over 16 games if they mantianed the same pace)
8 of 9 teams won 11 games or fewer

6 of 9 made the playoffs
3 of 9 did not

0 of 9 made the SB
1 of 9 made it as far as conference championship game

combined playoff record of 9 teams - just 2-6 (33.3%)
combined point spread record in playoffs of 9 teams - 2-6 (33.3%)

Now is not the time to jump on Pittsburg`s bandwagon. As I`ve said many times hot teams don`t win any more often then cold teams in the playoffs.
The 9 hottest teams over a 2 year period could produce just a 2-6 ATS (33.3%) playoff record, I`d bet cold teams making the playoffs for the very first time with no experience would produce a far better ATS record than these 9 hottest teams.

Surprise Teams of 2006 Season

2 Best Teams not to make Playoffs Last Season

Kansas City
Dallas

Best Teams to Win 6 games or Fewer Last Season

Detroit
Buffalo
Arizona

The past 2 season I`ve predicted 3 surprise teams who finished 6-10 or worse, of the 3 teams, 2 made the playoffs and both won a playoff game. The Skins last season and the Jets in 2004.

Don`t be suprised if 1 of these 3 teams becomes the Skins of this season


Most Overrated Team of 2006 Season

Carolina Panthers -

A number of preseason magazines and experts in the media are predicting this team to make the SB and win the SB.

Highly, highly unlikely this team wins the SB or makes the SB.

Many of these experts say Carolina is playoff tested because of their run through the playoffs as a wild card to the SB and then playing the Pats pretty even in the SB. And their run last season to the NFC title game as a wid card.

Well, Carolina`s had the very good fortune of playing some of the weakest bye teams (no.1 & 2 seeds) since 1978 the 1st year of 16 game schedule. The Philly team they defeated in NFC title game to make SB was the single weakest no. 1 seed since 1978.

The 2003 season when Carolina made the SB was by far the weakest group of 4 bye teams since 1978. It`s the first and only time that all 4 bye teams failed to cover the spread in their opening playoff games, a good sign of their weakness. And the Pats who beat Carolina in the SB was 1 of the weaker SB Champs, and the only SB Champ since 1978 to have a losing point spread record through-out the post season.

When they finally played a strong bye team in Seattle in last season NFC title game, they didn`t look so playoff tested, getting blown-out.
It`s not likely they`ll continue to get lucky, drawing such weak bye teams in the playoffs.

Another team I`d be careful with this season is Skins. Last season was the time to back this team, this season they will be a bit overvalued.

One of my 2 surprise teams of KC or Dallas will get deeper into the playoffs than Carolina.

BRINGitON bad-ass experts !!!!!!!

Dallas is not a bad bet this year.

I think I need to go back to Asia. Fooledagain1 is making sense!

Well, beyond his usual obsession with 'experts' that only just seems to get him buried under a sea of red ink...

2006 WNBA Playoffs

Connecticut 26-8 , best record, home court advantage thru out playoffs. Lost in title game last 2 seasons. Have elavated their game to championship level and now they are the best team. Tremendous value on futures bets and point spreads on this team. Ride this team on the point spreads thru out the playoffs. Fooledagain1`s favorite to win the title.

Futures;

Connecticut to win title (+200) --- 10 units to win 20 units

Conn -3 (-106) over Washington (game 1) --- 3.18 units to win 3 units
Conn -1.5 (-109) 1st half --- 1.09 units to win 1 unit

In the WNBA Playoffs the team with the home court adv in the series opens game 1 on the road. Best 2 of 3.

additional bets on Conn

Conn -3 (-120) over Wash --- 4.8 units to win 4 units
Conn -1.5 (-112) 1st half --- 1.12 units to win 1 unit

Conn 76-61 over Wash - won by 15
Conn 40-32 1st half - won by 8

Conn -3 over Wash --- WON 7 UNITS
Conn -1.5 1st halh --- WON 2 UNITS

2006 WNBA Playoffs to Date --- WON 9 UNITS

Detroit to win series over Conn (+150) --- 7 units to win 10.5 units

Well, Conn lost it`s best player to injury in 1st round series, she was the allstar game MVP, and possible MVP of the league, geez,

Other than a horde of lesbians , you may be one of 10 people who give a crap about the WNBA.

When you bet on the horses they sometimes pull up lame. Part of the charm of playing the ponies.

You gotta have a serious gambling problem to even consider betting on a useless "sport" like women's roundball.

Who's your pick for the World Series of Darts ?

Little League Game on Monday ?

Ha, ha, ha, ha, he,he,ha, the only problem I`ll have is figuring out what to do with all my winnings.

Detroit +4 over Conn (game 2)--- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

LA -4 (-104) over Sacramento (game 2) --- 1.04 units to win 1 unit

LA 1st half -2 (-109) --- 1.09 units to win 1 unit

LA (-6.5)(-106) 2cd half over Sac (game 2) --- 3.18 units to win 3 units

Det +4 over Conn --- lost 1.1 units

LA -4 over Sac --- lost 1.04 units
LA 1st half --- lost 1.09 units

LA 2cd half won by 10 --- won 3 units

Det to win series over Conn --- WON 10.5 UNITS

Conn to win the title --- lost 10 units

won 13.5 - lost 13.23 units = won .27 units

WNBA Playoffs to Date --- WON 9.27 UNITS

WNBA FINALS

Detroit -4 over Sacramento (game 2) --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Detroit -2 (-105) 1st half --- 1.05 units to win 1 unit


Detroit down 0-1, to win series over Sacramento (+271) --- 1 unit to win 2.71 units

Detroit -4 over Sac --- won 1 unit

Det 1st half --- lost 1.05 units

WNBA Playoffs to Date --- WON 9.22 UNITS

Detroit down by 11 at halftime

Detroit pk 2cd half over Sac (game 3) --- 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Det pk 2cd half --- lost 1.1 units

2006 WNBA Playoffs to Date --- WON 8.12 UNITS

Detroit +7 (-120) over Sacramento (game4, Det down 1-2) --- 1.2 units to win 1 unit

Det +3 (-105) 1st half --- 1.05 units to win 1 unit

Det +7 over Sac --- won by 20 --- won 1 unit

Det 1st half --- won by 6 --- won 1 unit

2006 WNBA Playoffs to Date --- WON 10.12 UNITS

Detroit down 0-1, to win series over Sacramento --- WON 2.71 UNITS

2006 WNBA Playoffs --- WON 12.83 UNITS

Fooledagain1`s amazing run through the playoffs, winning units in 11 of 12 playoffs entering 2006, comes to an end.

2006 Playoffs;
NFL --- lost 52.5 units
NCAA Final Four --- lost 4.7 units
NBA --- lost 5.5 units
NHL --- lost 4 units
Arena Football --- won 2.6 units
Europe Football League --- won 2 units
Parlay`s w/ combination of different sports --- won .88 units
WNBA --- won 12.83 units

2006 Playoffs --- lost 48.39 units
won units in 3 of 7 playoffs entered

2004 Playoffs --- won 147.15 units
won units in 6 of 7 playoffs entered

2005 Playoffs --- won 114.89 units
won units in 5 of 5 playoffs entered


Fooledagain1`s 3 year run on Club Hombre --- WON 213.65 UNITS
$100 per unit bettor has won $21,365
Won units in 14 of 19 playoffs entered (73.7%)

Consider 2 of my 5 playoff loses came because of injuries not nessasarly because I was on the wrong side.
Roloson getting knock-out of game 1 in Cup Finals and Edmonton forced to start a goalie who`d never played in a playoff game, 1st time in cup history that happened. And Coria losing French open title when he pulled up with a leg cramp after being up 2 sets to 1.
There`s no garuantee I would of won, but it pretty much garuanteed I would lose.


This is about as bad a year as I`ll ever have, my teams got alot of bad breaks.
Starting with Seattle in the Super Bowl, they out played Pitt and could easily have won the game outright, a number of close calls that could`ve gone either way went against them.

And the Mavs, a 10-1 longshot to win the title whom no expert thought could, they were on the brink up 2-0 in the finals and leading game 3 by 13 points with less than 6 minutes to go when the roof caved in.

And with Conn in the WNBA Playoffs losing their best player to injury in the 1st round.

Every time I had a good chance to get ahead on the year a damn near miracle went against me.


Some of my best years where I`ve set personal records have followed season`s like this, alot of things went against me, those things will likely come back and go for me next season.